Scrips where a fixed reading of smart-money concepts became known on one of the last few daily bars. A description of a chart event, not a call.
As of 2026-11-06: 52 up readings · 34 down readings
| Symbol | Reading | Kind | Signal date | Bars ago | Signal close | 1.5 ATR line | 2R line | Last close | % since signal | Sector |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CREST | Up reading | Liquidity sweep | 2026-11-06 | 0 | 1,192.00 | 1,104.83 | 1,366.34 | 1,192.00 | 0.00% | Life Insurance |
| GUFL | Up reading | Liquidity sweep | 2026-11-06 | 0 | 498.00 | 477.89 | 538.23 | 498.00 | 0.00% | Finance |
| SMB | Down reading | Structure shift | 2026-11-06 | 0 | 1,730.00 | 1,781.91 | 1,626.17 | 1,730.00 | 0.00% | Microfinance |
| STC | Up reading | Structure shift | 2026-11-06 | 0 | 5,640.00 | 5,470.08 | 5,979.84 | 5,640.00 | 0.00% | Tradings |
| UMHL | Up reading | Order block retest | 2026-11-06 | 0 | 557.00 | 533.57 | 603.86 | 557.00 | 0.00% | Hydro Power |
| UMHL | Up reading | Liquidity sweep | 2026-11-06 | 0 | 557.00 | 533.57 | 603.86 | 557.00 | 0.00% | Hydro Power |
| CBBL | Down reading | Liquidity sweep | 2026-11-05 | 1 | 989.80 | 1,010.91 | 947.59 | 987.00 | -0.28% | Microfinance |
| CITY | Down reading | Order block retest | 2026-11-05 | 1 | 322.00 | 337.02 | 291.96 | 321.90 | -0.03% | Hotels And Tourism |
| TRH | Down reading | Liquidity sweep | 2026-11-05 | 1 | 822.00 | 843.36 | 779.28 | 835.00 | +1.58% | Hotels And Tourism |
| ACLBSL | Down reading | Order block retest | 2026-11-04 | 2 | 840.00 | 862.06 | 795.87 | 817.50 | -2.68% | Microfinance |
Past test Hypothetical
43%reached the 2R line · random 44% · 1,886 settled cases
No demonstrated edge, descriptive only: likely 40 to 45%
Before 20 Apr 2026 43% (1,833) · from then 28% (53)
Average move after 1.5% cost, by sessions held
This patternRandom
Live results Live
No cases yet, need 30 to judge
Past test Hypothetical
28%reached the 2R line · random 25% · 2,124 settled cases
Slight edge: likely 26 to 29%
Before 20 Apr 2026 28% (1,922) · from then 28% (202)
Average price move, by sessions after the signal
This patternRandom
Live results Live
No cases yet, need 30 to judge
Past test Hypothetical
32%reached the 2R line · random 32% · 6,795 settled cases
No demonstrated edge, descriptive only: likely 31 to 33%
Before 20 Apr 2026 34% (5,812) · from then 21% (983)
Average move after 1.5% cost, by sessions held
This patternRandom
Live results Live
No cases yet, need 30 to judge
Past test Hypothetical
23%reached the 2R line · random 23% · 6,279 settled cases
No demonstrated edge, descriptive only: likely 22 to 24%
Before 20 Apr 2026 22% (5,769) · from then 34% (510)
Average price move, by sessions after the signal
This patternRandom
Live results Live
No cases yet, need 30 to judge
Past test Hypothetical
35%reached the 2R line · random 34% · 2,527 settled cases
No demonstrated edge, descriptive only: likely 33 to 37%
Before 20 Apr 2026 36% (2,393) · from then 24% (134)
Average move after 1.5% cost, by sessions held
This patternRandom
Live results Live
No cases yet, need 30 to judge
Past test Hypothetical
29%reached the 2R line · random 25% · 3,148 settled cases
Slight edge: likely 27 to 30%
Before 20 Apr 2026 28% (2,897) · from then 33% (251)
Average price move, by sessions after the signal
This patternRandom
Live results Live
No cases yet, need 30 to judge
A signal is read on one closed daily bar of adjusted prices, on the day it became known, by a fixed copy of the engine the chart draws from: swings are 5 bars each side, ATR is 14 bars, a sweep looks back 50 bars, and swings within 0.2 ATR count as one level. A structure shift is the first break of structure after a change of character, in the new direction. A sweep of lows is a bar that trades below a confirmed swing low and closes back above it, an up reading; a sweep of highs is the mirror, a down reading. An order block retest is the first bar that trades back into the block, unless that bar also closes through its far side.
Funds, debentures, promoter shares and the first year after a scrip's first candle are left out. The 1.5 ATR line is 1.5 times ATR(14) from the signal close, against the reading; the 2R line is 3 times ATR(14) from it, with the reading. Fair value gaps are not scanned.
SMC is discretionary. These are one fixed reading: a poor record shows these rules fail, not that SMC fails.
A liquidity sweep describes a price shape. We hold no order-book data, and this says nothing about real stop orders.
In our earlier study, SMC alone did not pass its test on NEPSE data.
NEPSE has no short selling, so a down reading is for people who hold the scrip, not a trade. The record reads no demonstrated edge, descriptive only, until the past test shows a clear one.